Monday 12 September 2022

My Boring Life

 

As a domestic hero I am called on to hang shelves from time to time.  ‘No problemo’, I talk  in the argot of cheerful mechanical.  ‘Where do you want it then?’  I went to my stores and looked for plugging rod,/rawlplugs but none did I find therein.    Fine I think I can get some after my dentist plugs another hole.  It’s just a small shop in the village near us with a good range of hardware where I have bought odd things like chain oil, screws, scythe stone, seeds etc.  During Covidology this shop devised a table with a screen across the door behind which stood the proprietor.  You gave your order and he or she went back into the shop to fetch it.  When today I went up there to get rawl plugs I could see the same set up.  I asked ‘Are you still running the Covid setup?’  Yes was the reply.  ‘Good luck with that’ I said and turned on my heel.

Since Feb. last mask mandates and all the rest of it have been removed in Ireland and now there is a steady flow of information about the misinformation that was fed to the public back in 2020.  The 95% risk reduction of infection promulgated in the msm was not accurate.  In fact the paper by the New England Journal of Medicine that underpinned the emergency usage of the vax actually showed a .84% absolute risk reduction which means that out of 119 persons inoculated one would be protected from Covid.

Check out Dr. Malhotra on this video. min 2:31

Dr. Malhotra

3 comments:

john doyle said...

Hi Michael. I wonder: how might you and I decide which of us has the more boring life? Hanging shelves sounds like high-risk adventure.

I didn't watch the whole interview, but I wanted to weigh in on the vaccine risk reduction data you cite in your post, with reference to Pfizer's November 2020 press release summarizing results of their phase 3 clinical trial for the original release of the covid vaccine.

Dr. Malhotra's summary of relative versus absolute risk is sound. Enrolled subjects were to receive two doses of the vaccine 28 days apart, and were to be tested for covid infection periodically during a 35-day interval following the first dose. Around 36K subjects completed the study, divided roughly equally between vaxxed and unvaxxed. Of the unvaxxed, 162, or about 0.88%, became covid-infected during the trial. Of the double-vaxxed, 8 individuals got infected during the trial, or about 0.04% of the sample. So that gives you the 162-8/162 = 95% relative risk reduction, and the relative risk reduction 0.88% - 0.04% = 0.84%.

Infections among clinical trial participants were recorded during a 35-day interval between late July 2020 and the end of August 2020. At that time the covid infection rates were still relatively low. In the US during that interval the US recorded 1.88 million new cases, or about 0.6% of the population, so the actual number of new infections in the US during that 35-day interval wasn't far from the 0.9% of unvaxxed clinical trial subjects who got infected. Infection rates increased afterward, but for our purposes let's assume a steady rate of 1% of the unvaxxed population getting newly infected each week. Over the course of a year that's 50% of the unvaxxed population getting covid. If the relative risk reduction from double-vax held at 95%, then during that hypothetical year only around .50*(1-.95) = 3% of the double-vaxxed would have gotten covid-infected. So for the year the absolute risk reduction would have been .50-.03 = 47%.

The point being: absolute risk reduction depends on incidence of infection in the population during the time period under consideration. And of course a lot of things have changed since mid-2020, so those original risk estimates no longer hold.

john doyle said...

Correction in the last sentence of paragraph 3: ...and the absolute risk reduction 0.88% - 0.04% = 0.84%.

ombhurbhuva said...

For me the original clarity of who was really in danger of death from Covid was lost in the obfuscation by science followers who dragged the whole population into it. Many of those experts were in thrall to Pharma. You know all this. Will climate change be the next ‘covid’ with authoritarian measures to control it. Arguably they are here already. Here come unforeseen consequences as firewood is hard to get and there is a brisk trade in chainsaws.