Tuesday 22 March 2022

Excess deaths in Ireland in 2020

The central statistics office in Ireland figures for all causes deaths in Ireland show a 2% increase between 2019 and 2020.  Recollect that the first case of covid death was in March 2019 and that there was a massive spike in deaths in April of that year mostly in care homes and that vaccines were not rolled out until December 29th 2019.

I wondered why the average of the previous 4 years was not given.  Excess deaths are calculated on this basis generally.  Then I remembered that 2017 was a bad flu year so there was likely an ‘early harvest’ which would account for a drop in all causes deaths in  subsequent years.

Does 2% (with qualification) sound like a pandemic of such extreme danger that  normal societal interaction was shut down for two years? 

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